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Welcome to the Dnevnik Diary, a daily political analysis of the elections in 2018, based on interviews with Republican and Democratic officials, interviewers, strategists and voters.
• Monitor updates from every country on Monday
Where are things going?
• Under the auspices of a new CNN poll, which has been supported by women, Democrats enjoy a 13-point advantage over the question of which party should oversee the Congress.
A national survey shows that 55 percent of voters prefer to vote for democratic scrutiny over the parliament, while 42 percent of respondents want the republicans to remain in power.
While men are actually divided into questions, women support democrats in large numbers: 62 percent of women said that Democrats must take up the congress, while only 35 percent prefer to retain the majority of Republicans.
The gap is obviously based on the views of President Trump. Only 39 percent of voters agree on the president's performance, but women are even lower: only 31 percent of women think that Mr Trump has done a good job as President, while 63 percent do not approve of his work.
• Do you think that the 2018 campaign will be completed after counting all votes from Tuesday? Think again.
Some Republican officials now believe that the Georgia governor's race will be scheduled for the second of December, because Stacey Abrams, the Democrat, and Brian Kemp, the Republican, will probably not have a majority.
It's a race it close to the private polling station and, while Mr Kemp enjoys a slight advantage in G.O.P. interviewers, libertarian could vote in the vote, Ted Metz, about 2 percent of the vote. (In the Georgian Gvernatorial Race for 2014, the Liberal candidate earned 2.36 percent of the vote.)
This could hold either a big candidate to reach 50 percent on the day of the election if the race remains on the neck and neck.
• Accident over the new inquiry by Mr Kemp's office of the Democratic Party of Georgia throw it curve in the last days of this tight race.
• The day before the elections, Trumpa advisers spent the weekend preparing this week for the President of the Republican loss and what this could mean for his agenda in Parliament.
• Two New York Times Upshot / Siena College interviews ended Sunday racing, which we will watch on Tuesday – and they are close.
In Kentucky, where the polls will end at 6:00. Eastern, representative Andy Barr, Republican and Amy McGrath, Democratic candidate, they are tied to 44 percent.
In Virginia, where the polls will end at 7 am, the representative of Dave Brother, a Republican, is well ahead of his democratic challenger, Abigail Spanberger. The survey was a sampling error plus or minus 4.6 percentage points.
• In the representative section of Steve King for re-election in Iowa, the Times Upshot / Siena survey, completed on Sunday, found that King King had a 5% lead over Democrat J.D. Scholten. However, the sampling error was plus or minus 5 points. Mr. King usually traveled for re-election, but his history of racist remarks, a recent interview with the publication related to the neo-Nazi party and the headache of the leader of the Republican Party, complicated his race.
The consultants tell us, Mr Scholten, that they are preparing for extradition if the voice is slim. They also ended a digital advertisement with Mr Scholten, who said that it was time for new leaders in both parties and called for the replacement of Nancy Pelosi and Paul Ryan.
• The two months of the Times Upshot / Siena College poll ended on Sunday night – 96 surveys of all, extraordinary and interesting company. Check them all here. A h / t to Amanda Cox, Nate Cohn and our colleagues at Upshot.
• On the sidelines of the senate, a group of Republican companies Trafalgar played a new poll at a session of senates in Arizona, where Kyrsten Sinemi, just before Mr G.P., was nominated for the nominated Democrat. candidate, Martha McSally.
• For more details on where the things stand in the campaign for the Congress, our election look for the Senate here and the house is here.
Trump's Monday
The President has three regular actions:
• 3 hours in Cleveland with a Republican nomination for Governor Ohio, Mike DeWine.
• 6:30 am in Fort Wayne, Ind., With a Republican nomination for the Senate in Indiana, Mike Brown.
• 10 pm in Cape Girardeau, Mo, with the Republican nomination for the Senate in Missouri, Josh Hawley.
Back to New York, if Claudia Tenney is not a popular member of the Trump family congress, she is high on the list. On Monday, Donald Trump Jr. and Kimberly Guilfoyle led the rally for the upstate of the Republican; is the fourth member of his family, who has appeared in the county of Tenney, in the last few months, according to Trump, Ivanka Trump and Eric Trump.
The Times Upshot / Siena poll, which ended on Sunday, showed that Mrs. Tenney and the Democratic nomination Anthony Brindisi act practically even.
Response to Florida
Approximately 25,000 more Democrats than the Republicans voted early in Florida since Sunday afternoon, according to the state statistics updated on Monday morning.
• Ron DeSantis, Republican candidate for governor, thinks this is good for him.
"I'd rather be from him," he told his Democratic opponent Andrew Gillum. According to reporters in South Dayton, Fla., He also referred to the Republicans as "a huge reservoir of dedicated electoral constituencies".
• Mr. Gillum sees things differently, told reporters in Miami that they do not even deal.
"The hard part is a look at democracy and the republican leaves more than 800,000 independent and no parties," he said. "We believe that we are running this category, and we do not believe that all Republicans who voted will vote for Mr DeSantis. We think we will get a good share of this."
Democrats on the block Bob Hugin
Tom Malinowski is a candidate for a democratic candidate against the representative of Leonardo Lance in the New Jersey 7th Congressional District.
But his election campers create headaches for Bob Hugin, a republican candidate for the Senate.
One of the volunteer organizers of Mr Malinowski, Lacey Rzeszowski, lives in the same block as Mr Hugin in Summit, N.J. On the two days of this weekend, her house was a management service for Mr Malinowski's efforts in the city. Hundreds of people walked across the meadow and then into the neighborhood in support of Mr Malinowski.
On Saturday, the turnout was so high that the police temporarily closed the block.
Mr Malinowski exchanged the news with Mr Hugin's opponent, Senator Bob Menendez, on Sunday morning with a breakfast in Union State, warning: 'Senator Menendez will like this story.'
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