True by numbers: Comparing winger Nikita Kucherov to the elite centers of the hall


Nikita Kucherov is in a similar place to the last time scoring in the NHL and he performs at such a dominant level we should perhaps compare him to the best centers in the game, but the best wings.

And in terms of trading terms, this week's question of Steve Dangle focuses on Michaels Fairland, which was an excellent time in Carolina's struggling. But how much value would he really bring to an acquiring team, as the well-known price to receive is fairly high?

And more so in this week's pillar.


A year ago, Nikita Kucherov has 27 goals and 60 points in 44 games to lead the NHL into scoring. This year, he is leading the league again, but with 22 goals and 75 points in 47 games.

Last time, Kucherov scored a bit and finished third in Connor McDavid and Claude Giroux. After being one of the leading heart trophy candidates for all the time, he was written off as a regular season and was not even a finalist for the award.

I was among those who were against Kucherov winning the tough one. My argument was boiled down to the fact that his performance of corresponding teams to his communion was not at the level of other 5-on-5 solid candidates.

However, when I had more time to crunch data over the summer, I began to wonder if I took it too simply. That's because, based on all that data, he actually scored higher as Taylor Hall did in the player's ranking project if you touch left and right bikers.

It was the second straight time, Kucherov was far away as the NHL's best rider in my calculations, and with a third season now unfolding for a scoring title, I'm starting to wonder if he should be Compared to the best centers, as compared to the best buggers in the game.

Just for simple painting, let's look at Kucherov's past three seasons in scoring chances compared to the best centers in the game.

In terms of direct manufacturing death for his team, Kucherov is right at the same rowhouse as the top league in the league over the past two years, a bit behind Crocbi and Macawavid at 5-on-5, but more impressive than any of them. On the power play.

Of course, centers are responsible for more than just harm, but when we try to attribute to what Kucherov does, I think it's worth knowing that he is just a part of the team for his team. Best centers in the world.

As well as we think Kucherov is, it's even better than that.

Rune Dixon and Rory Boil Go deep on packs with a mix of facts and fun, lingering on a varied group of hockey agree to give their names on the most favorite game of the country.

The question

The week it's all about getting closer to the trade deadline, and one of the hottest rumors in rumors is now wild in Carolina. No one wasn't crazy Hamilton – we were talking about it last week. Steve Dangl …

"Everyone is talking about Michael Ferland as a huge deal in the trading term, but how good is he really?"

After a breakout season last year while riding shotgun with San Monahan and Johnny Gaudreau, Ferland is just playing well at a Carolina team that has very few players living up to their expected level of offensive production.

Fairland is one of the few hurricane players this season who has scored at the expected rate or better based on shot volume and space, which makes him stand out from the rest. He also has the distinction of playing with a physical edge, which teams also clearly love.

On the run for 25 goals and 48 points, Ferland is not necessarily a game breaker, but this type of production is the fringe of the first line for a soft one in today's race. So he brings a unique mix of offensive production and, in fact, all that desires, but let's get into the data: does he really stand out from the pack on the canes?

Carolina bears a lot of chances, and Farland is ahead of team average – second only to Andrei Sveschikov in high danger.

Farland has an uncomfortable ability to get guns at the net, so it may be a little surprising that it has less opportunities from the forechek than its average teammate. The problem for him is usually the one forgechecking, so we won't keep it against him. In fact, his offensive zone hit rate of 40 percent per hit is the highest on the Hurricanes by nearly five percentage points.

What I like about Ferland is its versatility as a shooter. Usually, when a team says they need to get a little harder, but Ferland really does make a lot of sense in this regard. He's an involved player off the rush that got more chances and makes more passes than the average Hurricanes ahead. He's a great off-road player too, where he's a good part of his pre-shot chances.

He's not adept at shooting the slots for his teammates, but he's getting more scored for his teammates than the average Hurricane, so I would say his playmate is decent.

It may be a bit too much hype around Ferland at the moment, but he strikes me as a player who won't disappoint even if the price is high.


• Every team that trades Nino Niederreiter seems to be losing the trade through a landslide. I ranked him as the 13-best right-winger in the league this season, where Victor Rac ranked 77 in the center. That's a huge gap.

• What makes the hubs make play so bad? For starters, only 50.3 per cent of their shot attempts were from the slot, which ranks 24 in the league. But they also have extreme problems getting their slots on the net. Only 51.7 per cent of their slot shot attempts hit the target and only the devils were worse at that. The whole scheme needs to be reworked.

• All the time I said, the Sabers and Ducks are going to fall off, but I knew it was more gradual than that. Buffalo is losing all of the one-time games they are winning early, and the ducks … well that's just ugly.

• Speaking of the ducks, there were rumors in the off-season that Rane Kettler would sit out of time – and maybe he should? Six points in 44 games are less than half of his last-minute career-low production, he is gaining the scoring at a fourth-liner rate and getting defeated defensively. His course may look good at 47 percent, but his high-risk chances and pass to the slot differentials are both sub-40 per cent.

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